Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 at 11am UK
Stadion Ukrajina

Karpaty
1 - 1
Vorskla

Shakh (15')
Alvarez Garcia (25'), Miroshnichenko (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sklyar (57')
Kovtalyuk (54'), Chornomorets (90+2')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Karpaty Lviv and Vorskla Poltava.

Form, Standings, Stats

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Cherkasy 2-1 Karpaty
Monday, August 26 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 2-0 Obolon
Friday, August 16 at 4.35pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Karpaty LvivDrawVorskla Poltava
31.26% (0.12 0.12)26.58% (0.128 0.13)42.16% (-0.244 -0.24)
Both teams to score 51.2% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-0.467 -0.47)53.54% (0.47199999999999 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (-0.394 -0.39)75.05% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)31.63% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (-0.177 -0.18)68.03% (0.182 0.18)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.333 -0.33)25.11% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)59.82% (0.468 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Karpaty Lviv 31.26%
    Vorskla Poltava 42.15%
    Draw 26.58%
Karpaty LvivDrawVorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.128 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.02% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 31.26%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.97% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.15%

Head to Head
Jul 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Karpaty
P-P
Vorskla
Jun 7, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Vorskla
P-P
Karpaty
Dec 15, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 18
Vorskla
2-1
Karpaty
Luizao (30'), Vasin (42' pen.)
Luizao (20'), Perduta (51'), Sklyar (74'), Maksimov (83')
Boiciuc (39')
Mohamed (50'), Hall (53'), Yakimets (66'), Kucher (69'), Nazaryna (71')
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Karpaty
2-1
Vorskla
Ponde (70' pen.), Martins (80')
Di Franco (38'), Klyots (45')
Baienko (41')
Kolomoets (18'), Vasin (53'), Chesnakov (69'), Sapay (82')
May 12, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Vorskla
1-1
Karpaty
Rebenok (15')
Sharpar (24'), Sehic (65')
Debelko (88')
Sandokhadze (34'), Di Franco (54'), Mehremic (85')