Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo Kiev	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
49.29% ( -0.35)	24.94% ( 0.13)	25.77% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.17% (

-0.36)

49.83% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.17% (

-0.32)

71.83% (

0.32)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76% (

-0.29)

20.23% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.43% (

-0.46)

52.57% (

0.47)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15% (

-0.01)

33.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48% (

-0.01)

70.51% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Dynamo Kiev 49.29%

Shakhtar Donetsk 25.77%

Draw 24.93%

Dynamo Kiev	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 49.29%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.77%