Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.