Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Inhulets
34.36% ( 0.2)	26.82% ( -0)	38.81% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 51.32% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.21% (

0.05)

53.79% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.74% (

0.04)

75.26% (

-0.04)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

0.15)

29.68% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

0.19)

65.73% (

-0.18)

Inhulets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

-0.08)

27.02% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.62% (

-0.11)

62.38% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 34.36%

Inhulets 38.81%

Draw 26.82%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Inhulets
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.36%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.81%