Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.