Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.