Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.42%) and 3-1 (6.31%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.