Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.