Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Chornomorets

Chornomorets
1 - 0
Obolon

Shevtsov (87')
Udod (82'), Moroz (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shevtsov (89')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Obolon Kyiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inhulets 1-0 Chornomorets
Saturday, March 15 at 12am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Obolon 2-1 Inhulets
Sunday, September 29 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chornomorets Odesa in this match.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawObolon Kyiv
41.43% (1.254 1.25)26.6% (-0.404 -0.4)31.98% (-0.85 -0.85)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.994 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.62% (1.385 1.39)53.38% (-1.385 -1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (1.161 1.16)74.92% (-1.16 -1.16)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (1.305 1.31)25.42% (-1.305 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (1.755 1.76)60.24% (-1.755 -1.76)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.128 0.13)31.05% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.146 0.15)67.36% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 41.43%
    Obolon Kyiv 31.98%
    Draw 26.59%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawObolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.235 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.189 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.98%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 18
Obolon
1-1
Chornomorets
Krasnopir (74')
Shtohrin (84')
Bragaru (79')
Aug 12, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 3
Chornomorets
2-0
Obolon
Vasyliev (15'), Iyede (62')
Bragaru (44'), Kuzyk (54')
Kuzyk (72'), Salyuk (79')

Karas (26'), Pryymak (85'), Pryymak (86')
Karas (48')