Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livyi Bereh win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livyi Bereh win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest LNZ Cherkasy win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livyi Bereh would win this match.