Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LNZ Cherkasy win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a LNZ Cherkasy win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.