Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Livyi Bereh had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Livyi Bereh win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.