Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2024 at 11am UK
Stadion Livyi Bereh

Livyi Bereh
0 - 2
Luhansk


Synytsia (45+1'), Yakymiv (45+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Budkivskyi (45+9' pen.), Yatsyk (51')
Eskinja (43'), Kyryukhantsev (73'), Jordan (90')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Livyi Bereh and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livyi Bereh

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Last Game: Shakhtar 0-1 Livyi Bereh
Saturday, February 22 at 12am in Ukrainian Premier League
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Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Last Game: Luhansk 0-1 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Livyi Bereh had a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Livyi Bereh win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Livyi BerehDrawZorya Luhansk
24.21% (0.11 0.11)26.2% (0.044 0.04)49.59% (-0.154 -0.15)
Both teams to score 47.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.08% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)55.92% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)77.02% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Livyi Bereh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (0.055 0.05)38.54% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (0.050999999999998 0.05)75.29% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.102 -0.1)22.6% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78% (-0.154 -0.15)56.22% (0.153 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Livyi Bereh 24.21%
    Zorya Luhansk 49.58%
    Draw 26.19%
Livyi BerehDrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 24.21%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.71% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 12.95%
0-2 @ 9.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 49.58%