Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.