Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 79.3%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 6.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.