Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.85%) and 1-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.