Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 49.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.