Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 72.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 9.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.