Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 17

Dec 15, 2024 at 4pm UK

Tsentralnyi Stadion

Polissya
1 - 0
Shakhtar

Mykhaylichenko (90')
Matic (13'), Taylor (48'), Sarapiy (60'), Bristric (90+5'), Bristric (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kryskiv (62'), Sikan (90+2')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Polissya Zhytomyr and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Polissya Zhytomyr

All competitions

Last Game: Polissya 0-1 Rukh Lviv
Monday, December 9 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Ukrainian Premier League

Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Polissya Zhytomyr in this match.

Result
Polissya Zhytomyr	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
36.55% ( -0.01)	27.33% ( 0.09)	36.12% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.87% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.32% (

-0.34)

55.68% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17% (

-0.28)

76.83% (

0.28)

Polissya Zhytomyr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75% (

-0.17)

29.25% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79% (

-0.22)

65.2% (

0.22)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

-0.21)

29.52% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47% (

-0.26)

65.53% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Polissya Zhytomyr 36.55%

Shakhtar Donetsk 36.11%

Draw 27.33%

Polissya Zhytomyr	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.55%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.11%