Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 14
May 18, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Inhulets
Shakhtar Donetsk

Inhulets
1 - 4
Shakhtar

Volokhatiy (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bondarenko (2', 90+1'), Sudakov (66', 70')
Augusto Tobias da Silva (41')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Inhulets and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inhulets

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 2-1 Livyi Bereh
Monday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Last Game: Luhansk 0-0 Shakhtar
Friday, May 9 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 73.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 8.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.72%) and 0-3 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Inhulets win it was 1-0 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
InhuletsDrawShakhtar Donetsk
8.37% (-0.4759 -0.48)18.42% (-0.128 -0.13)73.21% (0.59999999999999 0.6)
Both teams to score 35.44% (-1.453 -1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (-0.861 -0.86)52.8% (0.855 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-0.741 -0.74)74.42% (0.73599999999999 0.74)
Inhulets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.74% (-1.632 -1.63)59.25% (1.627 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.73% (-0.878 -0.88)90.26% (0.874 0.87)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)13.02% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.43% (-0.166 -0.17)39.56% (0.162 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Inhulets 8.37%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 73.19%
    Draw 18.42%
InhuletsDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 4.04% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-1 @ 2.15% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-0 @ 1.06% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 8.37%
1-1 @ 8.23% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.258 0.26)
2-2 @ 2.2% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.42%
0-2 @ 16.03% (0.44 0.44)
0-1 @ 15.72% (0.48 0.48)
0-3 @ 10.89% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-4 @ 5.55% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-5 @ 2.26% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-5 @ 1.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 73.19%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 29
Shakhtar
6-0
Inhulets
Bondarenko (45+1'), Franjic (47'), Kevin (50'), De Sousa Lemos (70', 85'), Zubkov (79')
Sudakov (32')

Volokhatiy (9'), Mysyk (53'), Mogylnyi (56')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Inhulets
0-2
Shakhtar

Palamarchuk (78')
Konoplya (51'), Pavlov (85' og.)
Bondarenko (90+4')
Nov 5, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 11
Shakhtar
3-0
Inhulets
Kryskiv (18'), Sikan (69' pen., 90+3')
Nov 28, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 13
Inhulets
0-1
Shakhtar

Stephen (15'), Kovalenko (58')
Tete (32')
Antonio (70'), Sikan (90+1')
Jul 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Shakhtar
2-1
Inhulets
Traore (12'), Patrick (34')
Tete (90+3')
Stephen (81')
Zaporozhets (40'), Pavlov (66')