Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 9.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.71%) and 0-3 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Chornomorets Odesa	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
9.79% ( -0.28)	18.38% ( -0.31)	71.82% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 40.86% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.39% (

0.49)

48.61% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.27% (

0.45)

70.73% (

-0.45)

Chornomorets Odesa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.53% (

-0.26)

53.47% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.05% (

-0.16)

86.95% (

0.17)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.81% (

0.31)

12.19% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.16% (

0.65)

37.84% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Chornomorets Odesa 9.79%

Shakhtar Donetsk 71.81%

Draw 18.38%

Chornomorets Odesa	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.79%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.45% Total : 18.38%	0-2 @ 14.43% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 13.71% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 10.12% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 5.33% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 71.81%