Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Karpaty Lviv	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
32.28% ( 0.58)	26.16% ( 0.24)	41.56% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 52.92% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.49% (

-0.83)

51.51% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.69% (

-0.73)

73.31% (

0.73)

Karpaty Lviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

-0.03)

29.9% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

-0.03)

66% (

0.03)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

-0.78)

24.51% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

-1.11)

58.97% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Karpaty Lviv 32.28%

Shakhtar Donetsk 41.55%

Draw 26.16%

Karpaty Lviv	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.28%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.55%