Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky

Luhansk
2 - 1
Karpaty

Micin (69', 80')
Slesar (40'), Budkivskyi (42'), Dryshliuk (65'), Basic (84'), Miroshnichenko (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Polehenko (20' pen.)
Kostenko (46'), Pedroso (74'), Alvarez Garcia (77'), Micin (84'), Baboglo (84')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Karpaty Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Last Game: Polissya 1-1 Luhansk
Monday, November 25 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Karpaty
Saturday, April 12 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawKarpaty Lviv
33.71% (-0.609 -0.61)27.59% (-0.152 -0.15)38.7% (0.768 0.77)
Both teams to score 48.82% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.12% (0.502 0.5)56.88% (-0.493 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.2% (0.4 0.4)77.8% (-0.393 -0.39)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)31.66% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (-0.172 -0.17)68.07% (0.17999999999999 0.18)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.694 0.69)28.56% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (0.859 0.86)64.35% (-0.851 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 33.7%
    Karpaty Lviv 38.7%
    Draw 27.59%
Zorya LuhanskDrawKarpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.7%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.123 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.059 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.7%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 16
Luhansk
2-0
Karpaty
Vernydub (54'), Rusyn (87')
Ivanisenya (58'), Lednev (63'), Abu Hanna (66')

Martins (56'), Deda (59')
Aug 25, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Karpaty
0-1
Luhansk

Di Franco (67'), Ponde (67')
Budkivskyi (58')
Kamenyuka (52'), Ivanisenia (67'), Khomchenovskiy (79'), Bily (85'), Budkivskyi (89')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 15
Luhansk
2-1
Karpaty
Khomchenovskiy (16'), Gordienko (71')
Araujo Da Silva (66'), Kharatin (91'), Tymchyk (93')
Shved (34')
Ponde (50'), Miroshnichenko (68'), Carrascal (76')
Aug 12, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 4
Karpaty
0-1
Luhansk

Lebedenko (81'), Mendez (95')
Kharatin (77')
Svatok (25'), Mykhaylychenko (75'), Khomchenovsky (95')
rhs 2.0


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