Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.