Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Karpaty Lviv in this match.