Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Ukrajina

Karpaty
1 - 0
Obolon

Bruninho (10')
Klymenko (8'), Pedroso (14'), Chachua (70'), Ryabov (87'), Ryabov (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vitenchuk (18'), Sukhanov (47')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Karpaty Lviv and Obolon Kyiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Karpaty
Saturday, April 12 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Last Game: Obolon 1-5 Dynamo Kiev
Saturday, October 19 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Karpaty Lviv in this match.

Result
Karpaty LvivDrawObolon Kyiv
52.24% (0.525 0.52)25.36% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)22.4% (-0.442 -0.44)
Both teams to score 47.99% (-0.267 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)54.36% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)75.74% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (0.182 0.18)20.82% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (0.287 0.29)53.5% (-0.288 -0.29)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.61% (-0.479 -0.48)39.39% (0.478 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.91% (-0.449 -0.45)76.08% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Karpaty Lviv 52.23%
    Obolon Kyiv 22.4%
    Draw 25.36%
Karpaty LvivDrawObolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 12.86% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.141 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.28% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.4%

rhs 2.0


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