Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.