Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva

Kryvbas Kryvyi
2 - 0
Karpaty

Ilic (27' pen.), Tverdokhlib (69')
Vakulko (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neves Alves (33'), Miroshnichenko (34')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih and Karpaty Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chornomorets 1-3 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Saturday, December 7 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Karpaty
Saturday, April 12 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.

Result
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawKarpaty Lviv
42.49% (-0.117 -0.12)28.3% (0.023 0.02)29.2% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 45.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.45% (-0.052 -0.05)60.55% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)80.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.19% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (-0.111 -0.11)63.88% (0.107 0.11)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (0.042000000000002 0.04)36.86% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)73.64% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 42.49%
    Karpaty Lviv 29.2%
    Draw 28.29%
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawKarpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 42.49%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.29%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 29.2%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 2
Karpaty
3-0
Kryvbas Kryvyi
Shakh (39'), Polehenko (42'), Chachua (81')

Amaral Amoroso dos Santos (48'), Bizimana (58')
rhs 2.0


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