Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 6, 2025 at 11am UK
Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo

Vorskla
0 - 0
Karpaty


Krupskyi (55')
FT

Tanda (10'), Shakh (47')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Karpaty Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vorskla 1-1 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, February 28 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Karpaty
Saturday, April 12 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawKarpaty Lviv
32.89% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)28.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)38.64% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.12% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.82% (0.077000000000005 0.08)60.18% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.62% (0.061 0.06)80.37% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.010999999999996 0.01)33.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (0.013000000000002 0.01)70.59% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (0.076999999999998 0.08)30.21% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.63% (0.092999999999996 0.09)66.37% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 32.89%
    Karpaty Lviv 38.63%
    Draw 28.46%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawKarpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.89%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.63%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 11am
Gameweek 5
Karpaty
1-1
Vorskla
Shakh (15')
Alvarez Garcia (25'), Miroshnichenko (84')
Sklyar (57')
Kovtalyuk (54'), Chornomorets (90+2')
Jul 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Karpaty
P-P
Vorskla
Jun 7, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Vorskla
P-P
Karpaty
Dec 15, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 18
Vorskla
2-1
Karpaty
Luizao (30'), Vasin (42' pen.)
Luizao (20'), Perduta (51'), Sklyar (74'), Maksimov (83')
Boiciuc (39')
Mohamed (50'), Hall (53'), Yakimets (66'), Kucher (69'), Nazaryna (71')
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Karpaty
2-1
Vorskla
Ponde (70' pen.), Martins (80')
Di Franco (38'), Klyots (45')
Baienko (41')
Kolomoets (18'), Vasin (53'), Chesnakov (69'), Sapay (82')