Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18

Feb 23, 2025 at 11am UK

Obolon' Arena

Obolon
1 - 0
Vorskla

Sukhanov (66' pen.)
Grusha (39'), Stasyuk (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pavliuk (28'), Salabay (54'), Sklyar (77')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Obolon Kyiv and Vorskla Poltava.

Form, Standings, Stats

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions

Last Game: Rukh Lviv 1-3 Obolon
Sunday, December 15 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions

Last Game: Vorskla 0-1 Livyi Bereh
Friday, December 13 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 40.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 29.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Obolon Kyiv in this match.

Result
Obolon Kyiv	Draw	Vorskla Poltava
40.61% ( 0.16)	29.71% ( 0)	29.68% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 41.89% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.07% (

-0.05)

64.93% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.16% (

-0.04)

83.84% (

0.03)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

0.07)

31.43% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

0.08)

67.81% (

-0.08)

Vorskla Poltava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.09% (

-0.16)

38.91% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.36% (

-0.15)

75.64% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Obolon Kyiv 40.6%

Vorskla Poltava 29.67%

Draw 29.7%

Obolon Kyiv	Draw	Vorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.6%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.7%	0-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.67%