Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.