Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.99%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
LNZ Cherkasy	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
19.9% ( -0.04)	24.85% ( -0.01)	55.25% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 46.13% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.91% (

-0.01)

55.09% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65% (

-0.01)

76.35% (

0.01)

LNZ Cherkasy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.59% (

-0.05)

42.41% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.21% (

-0.04)

78.79% (

0.04)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.1% (

0.01)

19.9% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.97% (

0.02)

52.03% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

LNZ Cherkasy 19.9%

Shakhtar Donetsk 55.23%

Draw 24.85%

LNZ Cherkasy	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.9%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 13.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.23%