Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 29, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Obolon' Arena
Shakhtar Donetsk

Obolon
0 - 2
Shakhtar


Vitenchuk (37'), Pryymak (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
de Sousa Lemos (22'), Hlushchenko (89')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Obolon Kyiv and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Last Game: Oleksandriya 4-0 Obolon
Tuesday, March 11 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Obolon KyivDrawShakhtar Donetsk
20.87% (0.004999999999999 0)26.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)52.91% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.8% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)58.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)43.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.76% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.91% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Obolon Kyiv 20.87%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 52.9%
    Draw 26.22%
Obolon KyivDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.05%
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.87%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 14.59%
0-2 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-3 @ 5.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 52.9%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 7
Shakhtar
4-0
Obolon
Bondarenko (17'), Traore (67'), Sudakov (79'), Newerton (90')
Augusto Tobias da Silva (76')

Taranukha (20'), Medynskyi (33'), Sukhanov (72'), Karas (87')
Mar 30, 2024 11am
Gameweek 22
Obolon
0-3
Shakhtar

Grysjo (38'), Dubko (45+3')
Sukhanov (45+8')
Sikan (16'), Shved (45+1', 90')
Sudakov (29'), Kryskiv (33'), Sikan (44')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Shakhtar
1-0
Obolon
Nazaryna (77')
Stepanenko (63'), Lamkin (68')

Vovkun (25'), Taranukha (32'), Pryymak (90+4'), Rybka (90+4')
Vovkun (33')