Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Mar 11, 2025 at 11am UK
KSK Nika

Oleksandriya
4 - 0
Obolon

Filippov (13', 44'), Alvina (16'), Ndicka Matam (90')
Kaliuzhnyi (61')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between FC Oleksandriya and Obolon Kyiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Oleksandriya

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 2-1 Oleksandriya
Saturday, April 26 at 12am in Ukrainian Premier League

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Last Game: Luhansk 2-1 Obolon
Friday, March 7 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 47.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.

Result
FC OleksandriyaDrawObolon Kyiv
47.8% (0.023000000000003 0.02)27.28% (0.012 0.01)24.92% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.27% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)59.23% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)79.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
FC Oleksandriya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.87% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)59.48% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)39.75% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)76.42% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    FC Oleksandriya 47.79%
    Obolon Kyiv 24.92%
    Draw 27.28%
FC OleksandriyaDrawObolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 13.75% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.57% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.79%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 9.88% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 24.92%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 6
Obolon
0-0
Oleksandriya
Vitenchuk (58'), Medynskyi (76')
Filippov (31'), Martynyuk (56')
May 25, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
Obolon
0-3
Oleksandriya

Moroz (39')
Alvina (24', 61'), Kovalets (49')
Kovalets (44')
Apr 17, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 15
Oleksandriya
2-2
Obolon
Pohorilyi (88'), Skorko (90+2' pen.)
Kaliuzhnyi (11'), Prokopenko (59'), Belyaev (67')
Taranukha (79' pen.), Krasnopir (90+7')
Grusha (42'), Moroz (47'), Ermakov (75'), Vovkun (90+1'), (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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