Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Feb 23, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
KSK Nika

Oleksandriya
2 - 1
Luhansk

Filippov (45+1', 47')
Ermakov (90+1'), Ermakov (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vantukh (43')
Micin (15'), Vakula (68')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between FC Oleksandriya and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inhulets 2-1 Oleksandriya
Saturday, April 26 at 12am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 2-1 Chornomorets
Saturday, December 14 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.

Result
FC OleksandriyaDrawZorya Luhansk
39.36% (-0.84 -0.84)26.23% (0.039999999999999 0.04)34.41% (0.799 0.8)
Both teams to score 53.25% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)51.33% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)73.15% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
FC Oleksandriya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.45899999999999 -0.46)25.58% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.63 -0.63)60.46% (0.629 0.63)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (0.49300000000001 0.49)28.44% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8% (0.613 0.61)64.2% (-0.614 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    FC Oleksandriya 39.36%
    Zorya Luhansk 34.41%
    Draw 26.22%
FC OleksandriyaDrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 39.36%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.118 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.41%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 3
Luhansk
1-2
Oleksandriya
Jordan (51')
Nwanze (30'), Jordan (86'), Yatsyk (90+4')
Alvina (23'), Kovalets (32')
Mar 3, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Oleksandriya
0-0
Luhansk
Loginov (18'), Campos (89')
Jordan (63'), Myshnyov (68'), Butko (89'), Guerrero (89')
Jordan (72')
Aug 18, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Luhansk
0-0
Oleksandriya
Jordan (7')
Lalatovic (90+3')
Dolgyi (8'), Kovalets (33'), Savchenko (85')
(91+2')
May 28, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 29
Oleksandriya
0-2
Luhansk

Miroshnichenko (56'), Skorko (69')
Rusyn (9'), Buletsa (24')
Nov 18, 2022 11am
Gameweek 14
Luhansk
4-1
Oleksandriya
Butko (62', 70'), Buletsa (68'), Antyukh (76')
Rybalka (78')
rhs 2.0


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