Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.45%) and 3-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.