Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 20

Mar 7, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky

Luhansk
2 - 1
Obolon

Micin (43', 62')
Slesar (53'), Popara (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Karas (69')
Chernenko (26'), Karas (84')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Obolon Kyiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions

Last Game: Luhansk 2-0 Rukh Lviv
Sunday, March 2 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions

Last Game: Obolon 0-0 Polissya
Friday, February 28 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Obolon Kyiv
52.18% ( -1.33)	25.54% ( 0.47)	22.28% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 47.32% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.84% (

-0.92)

55.16% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.59% (

-0.77)

76.4% (

0.76)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.82% (

-0.92)

21.17% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.95% (

-1.44)

54.04% (

1.44)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.04% (

0.33)

39.96% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.38% (

0.31)

76.61% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 52.17%

Obolon Kyiv 22.28%

Draw 25.53%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Obolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.17%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.28%