Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 7, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Petar Micin 43' goal
  • Artem Slesar 53' yellowcard
  • Petar Micin 62' goal
  • Dejan Popara 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruslan Chernenko 26'
  • goal Danylo Karas 69'
  • yellowcard Danylo Karas 84'

Zorya Luhansk vs Obolon Kyiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 1.30pm
Luhansk 2 - 0 Rukh Lviv
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Petar Micin

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Feb 28, 2025 11.00am
Obolon 0 - 0 Polissya
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Rostyslav Taranukha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result

Zorya Luhansk 52.18% (-1.33)
Draw 25.54% (+0.48)
Obolon Kyiv 22.28% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.32% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.84% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 55.16% (+0.92)
Over 3.5 23.59% (-0.77)
Under 3.5 76.4% (+0.77)
Over 4.5 10.48% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 89.52% (+0.48)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5 78.82% (-0.92)
Under 0.5 21.17% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 45.95% (-1.44)
Under 1.5 54.04% (+1.44)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 0.5 60.04% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 39.96% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 23.38% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 76.61% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Zorya Luhansk 52.17%
Draw 25.53%
Obolon Kyiv 22.28%
Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 13.13% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 10.19% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 8.46% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.53%
Obolon Kyiv
0-1 @ 7.76% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 5.53% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 3.56% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 1.69% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 22.28%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2024 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Valerii Dubko 58' yellowcard
  • Valerii Dubko 62' redcard
  • goal Petar Micin 19'
  • yellowcard Pylyp Budkivskyi 48'
  • goal Pylyp Budkivskyi 52'
  • yellowcard Benito 69'
  • yellowcard Kyrylo Dryshliuk 85'
  • yellowcard Zan Trontelj 90'+2'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2024 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Livyi Bereh
  • Jakov Basic 73' yellowcard
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 20, 2023 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Sergiy Sukhanov 20' goal
  • Egor Prokopenko 25' yellowcard
  • Sergiy Sukhanov 28' goal
  • Valerii Dubko 41' yellowcard
  • goal Eduardo Guerrero 5'
  • yellowcard Kodjo Aziangbe 24'
  • goal Eduardo Guerrero 38'
  • yellowcard Arseniy Batagov 72'
  • goal Arseniy Batagov 74'
  • yellowcard Jordan 77'
  • goal Denis Antyukh 88'