Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 24

Apr 12, 2025 at 4pm UK

Obolon' Arena

Obolon
1 - 0
Chornomorets

Aniagboso (30' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gabelok (15'), Kysyl (87')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Obolon Kyiv and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions

Last Game: Inhulets 0-1 Obolon
Friday, April 4 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions

Last Game: Chornomorets 1-0 Cherkasy
Saturday, April 5 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 27.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Obolon Kyiv in this match.

Result
Obolon Kyiv	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
44.08% ( 0.13)	28.65% ( -0.07)	27.26% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 43.39% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.52% (

0.2)

62.48% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.91% (

0.14)

82.09% (

-0.14)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74% (

0.17)

28.26% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03% (

0.21)

63.97% (

-0.21)

Chornomorets Odesa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.48% (

0.05)

39.52% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.79% (

0.05)

76.21% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Obolon Kyiv 44.08%

Chornomorets Odesa 27.25%

Draw 28.64%

Obolon Kyiv	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 14.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 44.08%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.25%