Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.