Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 6, 2025 at 11am UK
Tsentralnyi Stadion

Polissya
3 - 1
Chornomorets

Batista (5'), Andrievsky (42'), Hutsuliak (78')
Babenko (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yanakov (57' pen.)
Sporn (64')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Polissya Zhytomyr and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Polissya Zhytomyr

All competitions
Last Game: Obolon 0-0 Polissya
Friday, February 28 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 1-0 Chornomorets
Saturday, March 15 at 12am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.

Result
Polissya ZhytomyrDrawChornomorets Odesa
61.26% (0.028999999999996 0.03)22.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.84% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)53.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.09% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.91% (0.012 0.01)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.83% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)46.34% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)81.99% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Polissya Zhytomyr 61.25%
    Chornomorets Odesa 15.85%
    Draw 22.89%
Polissya ZhytomyrDrawChornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 13.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61%
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 61.25%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 15.85%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 5
Chornomorets
1-4
Polissya
Butko (45+4')
Kysyl (79')
Nazarenko (3' pen.), Paixao Souza (8'), Hutsuliak (35'), Lednev (90+5')
Hutsuliak (4'), Makouana (81'), Paixao Souza (90')
Mar 30, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Polissya
1-4
Chornomorets
Kushnirenko (74')
Kozak (45'), Kushnirenko (63'), Boyko (82'), Costa (82')
Kushnirenko (78')
Avagimian (53', 60', 64'), Kuzyk (90')
Avagimian (82')
Sep 16, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 7
Chornomorets
1-0
Polissya
Vasyliev (13')
Boychuk (67'), Sporn (84')

Shabanov (39'), Smoliakov (73'), Boyko (81'), Grytsuk (81'), Tankovskiy (90+1')