Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 30, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Ukrajina

Karpaty
4 - 0
Chornomorets

Bruninho (42' pen., 45' pen., 50'), Kostenko (56')
Kostenko (23')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rakitskiy (87')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Karpaty Lviv and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Karpaty
Saturday, April 12 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 1-0 Chornomorets
Sunday, March 16 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karpaty Lviv would win this match.

Result
Karpaty LvivDrawChornomorets Odesa
56.18% (-2.119 -2.12)23.9% (1.135 1.14)19.91% (0.977 0.98)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-1.857 -1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.5% (-3.293 -3.29)51.5% (3.285 3.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (-2.943 -2.94)73.3% (2.934 2.93)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82% (-1.944 -1.94)18.17% (1.937 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.84% (-3.416 -3.42)49.16% (3.408 3.41)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.67% (-0.836 -0.84)40.32% (0.829 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.05% (-0.765 -0.77)76.94% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Karpaty Lviv 56.17%
    Chornomorets Odesa 19.91%
    Draw 23.9%
Karpaty LvivDrawChornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.84 0.84)
2-0 @ 10.65% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 6.06% (-0.365 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.465 -0.47)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.336 -0.34)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.273 -0.27)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.367 -0.37)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 56.17%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.52 0.52)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.915 0.92)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.698 0.7)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.123 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.255 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 19.91%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 11am
Gameweek 7
Chornomorets
0-1
Karpaty

Udod (18'), Petryak (34'), Siheiev (70'), Pshenychniuk (84')
Sakiv (52')
Adamyuk (53'), Kemkin (89')
Adamyuk (64')
May 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Chornomorets
3-1
Karpaty
Vihjalmsson (9'), Pavlov (75'), Ryzhuk (83')
Pavlov (79')
Myakushko (74' pen.)
Kovtun (3')
Apr 23, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 3
Karpaty
0-0
Chornomorets
Mendez (89'), Di Franco (91')
Tanchyk (39'), Grachev (43'), Morozenko (51')
Oct 28, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 13
Chornomorets
0-5
Karpaty

Grachev (1'), Trubochkin (47'), Shtorin (88')
Shved (2' pen.), Ponde (48'), Myakushko (78', 94'), Hutsuliak (96')
Mehremic (21'), Ponde (28'), Klyots (81')
Jul 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 2
Karpaty
1-0
Chornomorets
Shved (16')
Kuchinsky (94')

Savchenko (37'), Babenko (51')
rhs 2.0


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