Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 39%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
39% ( -0.69)	25.48% ( 0.14)	35.53% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 55.96% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.07% (

-0.55)

47.93% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9% (

-0.51)

70.1% (

0.51)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

-0.6)

24.23% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42% (

-0.86)

58.58% (

0.87)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86% (

0.07)

26.14% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

0.09)

61.22% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 39%

Dynamo Kiev 35.53%

Draw 25.47%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.91% Total : 39%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.53%