Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.