Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 25

Apr 19, 2025 at 4pm UK

Arena L'viv

Shakhtar
2 - 4
Kovalivka

Gomes (44'), Kevin (90+5' pen.)
Augusto Tobias da Silva (86'), Augusto Tobias da Silva (86')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Rrapaj (26'), Tsurikov (38'), Veleten (85'), Bolivar (90+7')
Veleten (85'), Bolivar (86'), Pakholyuk (90+10')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Kolos Kovalivka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Kolos Kovalivka

All competitions

Last Game: Livyi Bereh 0-2 Kovalivka
Sunday, April 13 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 14.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Kolos Kovalivka
62.13% ( -0.1)	22.92% ( 0.04)	14.95% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 42.56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.06% (

-0.05)

54.94% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

-0.04)

76.22% (

0.04)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

-0.05)

17.28% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38% (

-0.09)

47.62% (

0.09)

Kolos Kovalivka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.46% (

0.05)

48.54% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.37% (

0.03)

83.63% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 62.11%

Kolos Kovalivka 14.95%

Draw 22.92%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Kolos Kovalivka
1-0 @ 14.72% 2-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 62.11%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 14.95%