Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 22

Mar 30, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky

Luhansk
0 - 3
Kovalivka

Trontelj (5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tsurikov (42', 58'), Orikhovskyi (63')
Bondarenko (55'), Kozik (57'), Orikhovskyi (79')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Kolos Kovalivka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-2 Luhansk
Tuesday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Kolos Kovalivka

All competitions

Last Game: Cherkasy 2-0 Kovalivka
Sunday, March 16 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Kolos Kovalivka
40.51% ( -0.03)	29.61% ( -0.02)	29.88% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 42.24% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.46% (

0.09)

64.54% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.43% (

0.07)

83.57% (

-0.06)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71% (

0.03)

31.29% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35% (

0.04)

67.65% (

-0.03)

Kolos Kovalivka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.47% (

0.09)

38.53% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.72% (

0.09)

75.27% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 40.5%

Kolos Kovalivka 29.88%

Draw 29.6%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Kolos Kovalivka
1-0 @ 14% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.5%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.6%	0-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 29.88%