Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 12, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Inhulets

Inhulets
2 - 1
Livyi Bereh

Losenko (44'), Faraseenko (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva Santos (64')
Dedukh (49'), Synytsia (82')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Inhulets and Livyi Bereh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inhulets

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 0-4 Dynamo Kiev
Saturday, May 3 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Livyi Bereh

All competitions
Last Game: Livyi Bereh 2-3 Karpaty
Friday, May 2 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livyi Bereh win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livyi Bereh win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
InhuletsDrawLivyi Bereh
33.62% (-2.326 -2.33)29.09% (0.55 0.55)37.29% (1.773 1.77)
Both teams to score 44.5% (-1.692 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.77% (-2.005 -2.01)62.23% (2.002 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.09% (-1.496 -1.5)81.9% (1.493 1.49)
Inhulets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (-2.599 -2.6)34.49% (2.596 2.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (-2.868 -2.87)71.21% (2.864 2.86)
Livyi Bereh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.105 0.11)32.07% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.121 0.12)68.54% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Inhulets 33.61%
    Livyi Bereh 37.29%
    Draw 29.09%
InhuletsDrawLivyi Bereh
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.472 -0.47)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.434 -0.43)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 33.61%
1-1 @ 13.39% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 11.06% (0.8 0.8)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.09%
0-1 @ 12.58% (0.95 0.95)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.556 0.56)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.218 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.29%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 4.25pm
Gameweek 13
Livyi Bereh
0-0
Inhulets
Yakymiv (49'), Mashchenko (86'), Nepeypiev (88')
Pyatov (64'), Volodymyr (88')