Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livyi Bereh win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livyi Bereh win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.