Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 26

Apr 25, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky

Luhansk
2 - 1
Livyi Bereh

Antyukh (40'), Yatsyk (49')
Jordan (17'), Dryshliuk (62'), Saputin (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva Santos (63')
Mekhaniv (36'), Astakhov (52'), Kogut (61')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Livyi Bereh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 3-0 Luhansk
Sunday, April 20 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Livyi Bereh

All competitions

Last Game: Livyi Bereh 1-1 Polissya
Saturday, April 19 at 2pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Livyi Bereh had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Livyi Bereh win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Livyi Bereh
51.1% ( -0.04)	26.71% ( -0)	22.19% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 44.1% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.66% (

0.05)

59.34% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.26% (

0.04)

79.74% (

-0.04)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

23.39% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

0.01)

57.38% (

-0)

Livyi Bereh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.56% (

0.08)

42.44% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.19% (

0.07)

78.81% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 51.09%

Livyi Bereh 22.19%

Draw 26.71%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Livyi Bereh
1-0 @ 14.42% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 51.09%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.08% Total : 22.19%