Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
20.31% ( -0.05)	24.63% ( -0.05)	55.06% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 47.33% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.18% (

0.13)

53.82% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71% (

0.11)

75.29% (

-0.11)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.77% (

0.02)

41.23% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.24% (

0.02)

77.76% (

-0.02)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52% (

0.09)

19.48% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66% (

0.14)

51.34% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 20.31%

Shakhtar Donetsk 55.05%

Draw 24.63%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.31%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 55.05%