Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.