Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LNZ Cherkasy win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a LNZ Cherkasy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.