EFL Cup
Arsenal
Sep 25, 2024 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Bolton
  • Declan Rice 16' goal
  • Riccardo Calafiori 34' yellowcard
  • Ethan Nwaneri 37' goal
  • Ethan Nwaneri 49' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 64' goal
  • Kai Havertz 77' goal
  • goal Aaron Collins 53'

Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 60.84% ▼ (-0.47)
Draw 21.08% ▲ (+0.18)
Bolton Wanderers 18.08% ▲ (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.61% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.8% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 42.2% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 3.5 35.39% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 64.61% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 4.5 18.56% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 81.44% ▲ (+0.24)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 86.58% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 13.42% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 59.63% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 1.5 40.36% ▲ (+0.48)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 63.08% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 36.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 26.29% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 73.7% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Arsenal 60.84%
Draw 21.08%
Bolton Wanderers 18.08%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 60.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.08%
Bolton Wanderers
1-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 18.08%

Head to Head

Premier League
Bolton
Feb 1, 2012 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Gretar Steinsson 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Vermaelen 37'
Premier League
Arsenal
Sep 24, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bolton
  • Robin van Persie 46' goal
  • Robin van Persie 71' goal
  • Alexandre Song Billong 89' goal
  • redcard David Wheater 55'
  • yellowcard Gretar Steinsson 58'
Premier League
Bolton
Apr 24, 2011 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Fabrice Muamba 8' yellowcard
  • Matt Taylor 20' yellowcard
  • Kevin Davies 88' yellowcard
  • Tamir Cohen 90' goal
  • Tamir Cohen 90' yellowcard
  • goal Robin van Persie 48'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Song Billong 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Wilshere 64'
Premier League
Arsenal
Sep 11, 2010 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Bolton
  • Laurent Koscielny 24' goal
  • Kieran Gibbs 37' yellowcard
  • Marouane Chamakh 58' goal
  • Emmanuel Eboue 62' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Song Billong 78' goal
  • Carlos Vela 83' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Davies 18'
  • goal Johann Elmander 44'
  • yellowcard Gretar Steinsson 53'
  • redcard Gary Cahill 64'
Premier League
Arsenal
Jan 20, 2010 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Bolton
  • Tomas Rosicky 43' goal
  • Cesc Fabregas 52' goal
  • Thomas Vermaelen 65' goal
  • Andrei Arshavin 85' goal
  • Gael Clichy 87' yellowcard
  • goal Gary Cahill 7'
  • goal Matt Taylor 28'
  • yellowcard Fabrice Muamba 47'
Premier League
Bolton
Jan 17, 2010 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Arsenal
  • Paul Robinson 35' yellowcard
  • goal Cesc Fabregas 28'
  • yellowcard Tomas Rosicky 37'
  • yellowcard Thomas Vermaelen 77'

Form Data

Man City 2 - 2 Arsenal
Atalanta 0 - 0 Arsenal
Spurs 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 1 - 1 Brighton
Aston Villa 0 - 2 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 0 Wolves
Bolton 5 - 2 Reading
Bolton 0 - 4 Huddersfield
Barrow 2 - 3 Bolton
Bolton 0 - 2 Exeter
Shrewsbury 0 - 2 Bolton
Charlton 2 - 0 Bolton

Build-up

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