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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Reading logo

Bolton
5 - 2
Reading

Sheehan (12'), Charles (21' pen., 34', 45+4' pen.), Dempsey (87')
Santos (16'), Baxter (81'), Williams (88'), Arfield (90+1')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Elliott (41'), Smith (57' pen.)
Wing (11'), Knibbs (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
43.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12%60.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 43.61%
    Reading 32.13%
    Draw 24.25%
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.13%

How you voted: Bolton vs Reading

Bolton Wanderers
60.0%
Draw
6.7%
Reading
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Bolton
5-2
Reading
Collins (11', 45+4' pen., 77'), Dadi Bodvarsson (49', 90+5')
Ogbeta (16'), Sheehan (53')
Wing (40'), Mukairu (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Reading
2-1
Bolton
Savage (77'), Vickers (86')
Ballard (30'), Yiadom (79'), Azeez (87'), Mbengue (87'), (90+7'), Savage (90+2')
Charles (20')
Santos (13'), Toal (16'), Williams (38'), Jerome (76'), Thomason (76')
Toal (90+4')
Jan 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Bolton
1-1
Reading
Hobbs (90')
Noone (35'), Taylor (58')
Oliveira (74' pen.)
Gunter (53'), Rinomhota (60'), Swift (63')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
0-1
Bolton

Blackett (25'), Kelly (65')
Wildschut (48')
Wheater (11')
Mar 6, 2018 8pm
Reading
1-1
Bolton
Barrow (32')
Barrow (33'), Edwards (64'), Evans (81')
Le Fondre (45')
Buckley (57'), Flanagan (89'), Henry (90')