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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Reading |
| 43.61% ( | 24.25% ( | 32.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.84% ( | 43.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.44% ( | 65.56% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.04% ( | 19.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.88% ( | 52.12% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( | 25.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% | 60.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.13% |