League One Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
  • Ollie Palmer 23' goal
  • Elliot Lee 33' goal
  • Andy Cannon 49' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Smith 28'
  • yellowcard Ben Elliott 56'

Wrexham vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Aug 18, 2024 3.00pm
Bolton 0 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Elliot Lee

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
Reading 2 - 0 Wigan
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Harvey Knibbs

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Reading had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Wrexham 50.5% (-0.07)
Draw 23.33% (+0.02)
Reading 26.16% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.4% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.44% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.56% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.04% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 64.96% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.29% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 81.71% (+0.03)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 83.04% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 16.96% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 52.95% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 47.05% (+0.07)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 70.33% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.67% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.28% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 65.72% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Wrexham 50.5%
Draw 23.33%
Reading 26.16%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 50.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.33%
Reading
1-2 @ 6.59% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 26.16%