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Championship header 2

League One

Wrexham AFC
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Reading logo

Wrexham
3 - 0
Reading

Palmer (23'), Lee (33'), Cannon (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Smith (28'), Elliott (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Wrexham
Sunday, August 18 at 3pm in League One

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 3-1 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Reading had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawReading
50.5% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)23.33% (0.016999999999999 0.02)26.16% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.4% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.44% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)42.56% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)64.96% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)16.96% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)47.05% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (0.015999999999991 0.02)29.67% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.72% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 50.5%
    Reading 26.16%
    Draw 23.33%
WrexhamDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 26.16%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Reading

Wrexham
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Reading
25.0%
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