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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 32.27% ( | 25.65% ( | 42.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( | 49.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( | 71.42% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( | 28.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( | 64.71% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( | 23.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% ( | 57.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.27% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.08% |