Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.