Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 68.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 11.77% ( | 19.44% ( | 68.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( | 47.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( | 70.01% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.79% ( | 49.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.9% ( | 84.1% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% ( | 12.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.85% ( | 39.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 4.47% ( 2-1 @ 3.26% ( 2-0 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 11.77% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 2-2 @ 3.35% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.44% | 0-2 @ 13.3% ( 0-1 @ 12.95% ( 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0-3 @ 9.11% ( 1-3 @ 6.46% ( 0-4 @ 4.68% ( 1-4 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0-5 @ 1.92% ( 1-5 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 68.77% |